Earnings

Comparing Valuation And Performance: Shire plc (SHPG), Eaton Corporation plc (ETN)

The shares of Shire plc have increased by more than 10.56% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -2.52% or -$4.44 and now trades at $171.50. The shares of Eaton Corporation plc (NYSE:ETN), has slumped by -5.09% year to date as of 12/04/2018. The shares currently trade at $74.99 and have been able to report a change of -0.48% over the past one week.

The stock of Shire plc and Eaton Corporation plc were two of the most active stocks on Tuesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 5.40% versus 10.65%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that SHPG will grow it’s earning at a 5.40% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to ETN which will have a positive growth at a 10.65% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of ETN implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. SHPG has an EBITDA margin of 40.44%, this implies that the underlying business of SHPG is more profitable. The ROI of SHPG is 4.30% while that of ETN is 8.40%. These figures suggest that ETN ventures generate a higher ROI than that of SHPG.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, SHPG’s free cash flow per share is a positive 1.1, while that of ETN is positive 2.85.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for SHPG is 0.90 and that of ETN is 1.50. This implies that it is easier for SHPG to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than ETN. The debt ratio of SHPG is 0.41 compared to 0.43 for ETN. ETN can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than SHPG.

Valuation

SHPG currently trades at a forward P/E of 10.91, a P/B of 1.40, and a P/S of 3.29 while ETN trades at a forward P/E of 12.75, a P/B of 1.94, and a P/S of 1.52. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, SHPG is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of SHPG is currently at a -14.95% to its one-year price target of 201.64. Looking at its rival pricing, ETN is at a -14.27% relative to its price target of 87.47.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), SHPG is given a 1.80 while 2.20 placed for ETN. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for ETN stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for SHPG is 1.71 while that of ETN is just 3.25. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for SHPG stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Eaton Corporation plc defeats that of Shire plc when the two are compared, with ETN taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. ETN happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, ETN is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for ETN is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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