Earnings

Which of these 2 stocks can turn out to be absolute gem? – Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE), MannKind Corporation (MNKD)

The shares of Gran Tierra Energy Inc. have increased by more than 32.96% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -5.03% or -$0.19 and now trades at $3.59. The shares of MannKind Corporation (NASDAQ:MNKD), has slumped by -28.02% year to date as of 10/10/2018. The shares currently trade at $1.67 and have been able to report a change of -7.22% over the past one week.

The stock of Gran Tierra Energy Inc. and MannKind Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 10.00% versus 26.80%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that GTE will grow it’s earning at a 10.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to MNKD which will have a positive growth at a 26.80% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of MNKD implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. GTE has an EBITDA margin of 21.37%, this implies that the underlying business of GTE is more profitable. The ROI of GTE is -2.70% while that of MNKD is 189.70%. These figures suggest that MNKD ventures generate a higher ROI than that of GTE.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, GTE’s free cash flow per share is a negative -0.01, while that of MNKD is also a negative -0.25.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for GTE is 1.80 and that of MNKD is 0.50. This implies that it is easier for GTE to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than MNKD.

Valuation

GTE currently trades at a forward P/E of 6.93, a P/B of 1.44, and a P/S of 2.68 while MNKD trades at a P/S of 18.81. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, GTE is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of GTE is currently at a -24.74% to its one-year price target of 4.77. Looking at its rival pricing, MNKD is at a -58.25% relative to its price target of 4.00.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), GTE is given a 1.60 while 2.00 placed for MNKD. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for MNKD stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for GTE is 3.37 while that of MNKD is just 7.67. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for GTE stock.

Conclusion

The stock of MannKind Corporation defeats that of Gran Tierra Energy Inc. when the two are compared, with MNKD taking 6 out of the total factors that were been considered. MNKD happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, MNKD is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for MNKD is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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