Earnings

Which is more compelling pick right now? – Hortonworks, Inc. (HDP), Antares Pharma, Inc. (ATRS)

The shares of Hortonworks, Inc. have decreased by more than -0.80% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -10.94% or -$2.45 and now trades at $19.95. The shares of Antares Pharma, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATRS), has jumped by 69.35% year to date as of 10/10/2018. The shares currently trade at $3.37 and have been able to report a change of -10.85% over the past one week.

The stock of Hortonworks, Inc. and Antares Pharma, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of HDP is 311.70% while that of ATRS is -28.20%. These figures suggest that HDP ventures generate a higher ROI than that of ATRS.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, HDP’s free cash flow per share is a positive -0, while that of ATRS is negative -0.01.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for HDP is 1.00 and that of ATRS is 2.30. This implies that it is easier for HDP to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than ATRS.

Valuation

HDP currently trades at a P/S of 5.52 while ATRS trades at a forward P/E of 64.81, a P/B of 21.06, and a P/S of 9.42. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, HDP is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of HDP is currently at a -29.28% to its one-year price target of 28.21. Looking at its rival pricing, ATRS is at a -35.19% relative to its price target of 5.20.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), HDP is given a 1.90 while 1.40 placed for ATRS. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for HDP stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for HDP is 4.20 while that of ATRS is just 4.36. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for HDP stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Antares Pharma, Inc. defeats that of Hortonworks, Inc. when the two are compared, with ATRS taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. ATRS happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, ATRS is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for ATRS is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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