Earnings

Are These Stocks A Sure Bet? – XpresSpa Group, Inc. (XSPA), Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO)

The shares of XpresSpa Group, Inc. have decreased by more than -86.50% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 2.78% or $0.01 and now trades at $0.19. The shares of Eldorado Gold Corporation (NYSE:EGO), has slumped by -37.06% year to date as of 10/10/2018. The shares currently trade at $0.90 and have been able to report a change of 0.04% over the past one week.

The stock of XpresSpa Group, Inc. and Eldorado Gold Corporation were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 20.00% versus 5.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that XSPA will grow it’s earning at a 20.00% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to EGO which will have a positive growth at a 5.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of XSPA implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. The ROI of XSPA is 19.60% while that of EGO is -1.40%. These figures suggest that XSPA ventures generate a higher ROI than that of EGO.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, XSPA’s free cash flow per share is a positive -0, while that of EGO is negative -0.01.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for XSPA is 0.60 and that of EGO is 7.20. This implies that it is easier for XSPA to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than EGO. The debt ratio of XSPA is 0.63 compared to 0.00 for EGO. XSPA can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than EGO.

Valuation

XSPA currently trades at a P/B of 0.36, and a P/S of 0.11 while EGO trades at a forward P/E of 225.00, a P/B of 0.20, and a P/S of 1.49. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, XSPA is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. Looking at its rival pricing, EGO is at a -50.82% relative to its price target of 1.83.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), XSPA is given a 2.00 while 3.00 placed for EGO. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for EGO stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for XSPA is 1.99 while that of EGO is just 6.83. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for XSPA stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Eldorado Gold Corporation defeats that of XpresSpa Group, Inc. when the two are compared, with EGO taking 4 out of the total factors that were been considered. EGO happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, EGO is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for EGO is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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