Earnings

Which of these 2 stocks can turn out to be absolute gem? – Rite Aid Corporation (RAD), J. C. Penney Company, Inc. (JCP)

The shares of Rite Aid Corporation have decreased by more than -16.24% this year alone. The shares recently went down by -1.79% or -$0.03 and now trades at $1.65. The shares of J. C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE:JCP), has slumped by -24.37% year to date as of 07/12/2018. The shares currently trade at $2.39 and have been able to report a change of 0.00% over the past one week.

The stock of Rite Aid Corporation and J. C. Penney Company, Inc. were two of the most active stocks on Thursday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. RAD has an EBITDA margin of 3.38%, this implies that the underlying business of JCP is more profitable. The ROI of RAD is 3.00% while that of JCP is 2.40%. These figures suggest that RAD ventures generate a higher ROI than that of JCP.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, RAD’s free cash flow per share is a positive 0, while that of JCP is negative -3.69.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for RAD is 1.40 and that of JCP is 1.70. This implies that it is easier for RAD to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than JCP. The debt ratio of RAD is 2.12 compared to 3.35 for JCP. JCP can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than RAD.

Valuation

RAD currently trades at a forward P/E of 21.43, a P/B of 1.09, and a P/S of 0.08 while JCP trades at a forward P/E of 15.13, a P/B of 0.57, and a P/S of 0.06. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, JCP is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of RAD is currently at a -16.24% to its one-year price target of 1.97. Looking at its rival pricing, JCP is at a -28.01% relative to its price target of 3.32.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), RAD is given a 3.00 while 3.10 placed for JCP. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for JCP stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for RAD is 12.80 while that of JCP is just 7.86. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for JCP stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Rite Aid Corporation defeats that of J. C. Penney Company, Inc. when the two are compared, with RAD taking 5 out of the total factors that were been considered. RAD happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, RAD is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for RAD is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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