Earnings

Uncovering the next great stocks: Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras (PBR-A), Amira Nature Foods Ltd. (ANFI)

The shares of Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras have increased by more than 51.48% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 1.99% or $0.29 and now trades at $14.89. The shares of Amira Nature Foods Ltd. (NYSE:ANFI), has slumped by -45.56% year to date as of 05/16/2018. The shares currently trade at $2.27 and have been able to report a change of -29.94% over the past one week.

The stock of Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras and Amira Nature Foods Ltd. were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 5.30% versus 25.00%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that PBR-A will grow it’s earning at a 5.30% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to ANFI which will have a positive growth at a 25.00% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of ANFI implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. These figures suggest that ANFI ventures generate a higher ROI than that of PBR-A.

Valuation



PBR-A currently trades at a forward P/E of 12.01, a P/B of 1.24, and a P/S of 1.15 while ANFI trades at a forward P/E of 1.99, a P/B of 0.32, and a P/S of 0.18. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, ANFI is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of PBR-A is currently at a 10.38% to its one-year price target of 13.49. Looking at its rival pricing, ANFI is at a -62.17% relative to its price target of 6.00.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), PBR-A is given a 2.60 while 1.00 placed for ANFI. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for PBR-A stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment




Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for PBR-A is 3.08 while that of ANFI is just 5.44. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for PBR-A stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. – Petrobras defeats that of Amira Nature Foods Ltd. when the two are compared, with PBR-A taking 3 out of the total factors that were been considered. PBR-A happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, PBR-A is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for PBR-A is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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