Earnings

A Comparison of Top Movers: Micron Technology, Inc. (MU), Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS)

The shares of Micron Technology, Inc. have increased by more than 37.40% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 4.61% or $2.49 and now trades at $56.50. The shares of Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), has jumped by 8.02% year to date as of 05/16/2018. The shares currently trade at $12.66 and have been able to report a change of -17.58% over the past one week.

The stock of Micron Technology, Inc. and Vipshop Holdings Limited were two of the most active stocks on Wednesday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Next 5Y EPS Growth: 30.33% versus 1.25%

When a company is able to grow consistently in terms of earnings at a high compound rate have the highest likelihood of creating value for its shareholders over time. Analysts have predicted that MU will grow it’s earning at a 30.33% annual rate in the next 5 years. This is in contrast to VIPS which will have a positive growth at a 1.25% annual rate. This means that the higher growth rate of MU implies a greater potential for capital appreciation over the years.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. MU has an EBITDA margin of 50.95%, this implies that the underlying business of MU is more profitable. The ROI of MU is 19.20% while that of VIPS is 7.00%. These figures suggest that MU ventures generate a higher ROI than that of VIPS.

Cash Flow



The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, MU’s free cash flow per share is a positive 9.65.

Liquidity and Financial Risk

The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for MU is 2.60 and that of VIPS is 1.30. This implies that it is easier for MU to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than VIPS. The debt ratio of MU is 0.36 compared to 0.40 for VIPS. VIPS can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than MU.

Valuation

MU currently trades at a forward P/E of 5.71, a P/B of 2.54, and a P/S of 2.49 while VIPS trades at a forward P/E of 11.23, a P/B of 3.31, and a P/S of 0.73. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, MU is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions




The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of MU is currently at a -22.3% to its one-year price target of 72.72. Looking at its rival pricing, VIPS is at a -36.41% relative to its price target of 19.91.

When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), MU is given a 2.00 while 2.10 placed for VIPS. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for VIPS stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for MU is 1.06 while that of VIPS is just 1.52. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for MU stock.

Conclusion

The stock of Vipshop Holdings Limited defeats that of Micron Technology, Inc. when the two are compared, with VIPS taking 2 out of the total factors that were been considered. VIPS happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, VIPS is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for VIPS is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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