Earnings

Which of these 2 stocks can turn out to be absolute gem? – American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO), SM Energy Company (SM)

The shares of American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. have increased by more than 15.80% this year alone. The shares recently went up by 1.49% or $0.32 and now trades at $21.77. The shares of SM Energy Company (NYSE:SM), has slumped by -5.80% year to date as of 04/13/2018. The shares currently trade at $20.80 and have been able to report a change of 16.01% over the past one week.

The stock of American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. and SM Energy Company were two of the most active stocks on Friday. Investors seem to be very interested in what happens to the stocks of these two companies but do investors favor one over the other? We will analyze the growth, profitability, risk, valuation, and insider trends of both companies and see which one investors prefer.

Profitability and Returns

Growth alone cannot be used to see if the company will be valuable. Shareholders will be the losers if a company invest in ventures that aren’t profitable enough to support upbeat growth. In order for us to accurately measure profitability and return, we will be using the EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI), which balances the difference in capital structure. AEO has an EBITDA margin of 12.03%, this implies that the underlying business of AEO is more profitable. The ROI of AEO is 16.00% while that of SM is -0.90%. These figures suggest that AEO ventures generate a higher ROI than that of SM.

Cash Flow

The value of a stock is ultimately determined by the amount of cash flow that the investors have available. Over the last 12 months, AEO’s free cash flow per share is a positive 3.88, while that of SM is negative -11.28.

Liquidity and Financial Risk



The ability of a company to meet up with its short-term obligations and be able to clear its longer-term debts is measured using Liquidity and leverage ratios. The current ratio for AEO is 2.00 and that of SM is 1.00. This implies that it is easier for AEO to cover its immediate obligations over the next 12 months than SM. The debt ratio of AEO is 0.00 compared to 1.21 for SM. SM can be able to settle its long-term debts and thus is a lower financial risk than AEO.

Valuation

AEO currently trades at a forward P/E of 14.28, a P/B of 3.09, and a P/S of 1.00 while SM trades at a forward P/E of 15.33, a P/B of 0.97, and a P/S of 1.80. This means that looking at the earnings, book values and sales basis, AEO is the cheaper one. It is very obvious that earnings are the most important factors to investors, thus analysts are most likely to place their bet on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

The mistake some people make is that they think a cheap stock has more value to it. In order to know the value of a stock, there is need to compare its current price to its likely trading price in the future. The price of AEO is currently at a 6.98% to its one-year price target of 20.35. Looking at its rival pricing, SM is at a -29.32% relative to its price target of 29.43.




When looking at the investment recommendation on say a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell), AEO is given a 2.50 while 2.20 placed for SM. This means that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for AEO stocks.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest or otherwise called the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted is another data that investors use to get a handle on sentiment. The short ratio for AEO is 3.11 while that of SM is just 5.92. This means that analysts are more bullish on the forecast for AEO stock.

Conclusion

The stock of SM Energy Company defeats that of American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. when the two are compared, with SM taking 3 out of the total factors that were been considered. SM happens to be more profitable, generates a higher ROI, has higher cash flow per share, higher liquidity and has a lower financial risk. When looking at the stock valuation, SM is the cheaper one on an earnings, book value and sales basis. Finally, the sentiment signal for SM is better on when it is viewed on short interest.

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