Earnings

Dissecting the Numbers for Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (FOXA) and Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (FOX)

Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOXA) shares are up more than 17.65% this year and recently increased 0.71% or $0.23 to settle at $33.22. Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOX), on the other hand, is up 19.19% year to date as of 12/05/2017. It currently trades at $32.64 and has returned 7.66% during the past week.

Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOXA) and Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOX) are the two most active stocks in the Entertainment – Diversified industry based on today’s trading volumes. We will compare the two companies based on the strength of various metrics, including growth, profitability, risk, return, and valuation to determine if one is a better investment than the other.

Growth

Companies that can increase earnings at a high compound rate over time are attractive to investors. Analysts expect FOXA to grow earnings at a 7.35% annual rate over the next 5 years. Comparatively, FOX is expected to grow at a 9.40% annual rate. All else equal, FOX’s higher growth rate would imply a greater potential for capital appreciation.



Profitability and Returns

A high growth rate isn’t necessarily valuable to investors. In fact, companies that overinvest in low return projects just to achieve a high growth rate can actually destroy shareholder value. Profitability and returns are a measure of the quality of a company’s business and its growth opportunities. We’ll use EBITDA margin and Return on Investment (ROI) to measure this., compared to an EBITDA margin of 25.98% for Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (FOX).

Cash Flow 




The amount of free cash flow available to investors is ultimately what determines the value of a stock. FOXA’s free cash flow (“FCF”) per share for the trailing twelve months was +0.32. Comparatively, FOX’s free cash flow per share was +0.32. On a percent-of-sales basis, FOXA’s free cash flow was 2.08% while FOX converted 2.08% of its revenues into cash flow. This means that, for a given level of sales, FOXA is able to generate more free cash flow for investors.

Valuation

FOXA trades at a forward P/E of 14.61, a P/B of 3.75, and a P/S of 2.10, compared to a forward P/E of 14.31, a P/B of 3.82, for FOX. FOXA is the cheaper of the two stocks on book value basis but is expensive in terms of P/E and P/S ratio. Given that earnings are what matter most to investors, analysts tend to place a greater weight on the P/E.

Analyst Price Targets and Opinions

Investors often compare a stock’s current price to an analyst price target to get a sense of the potential upside within the next year. FOXA is currently priced at a 0.45% to its one-year price target of 33.07. Comparatively, FOX is -10.58% relative to its price target of 36.50. This suggests that FOX is the better investment over the next year.

The average investment recommendation on a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being a strong buy, 3 a hold, and 5 a sell) is 2.30 for FOXA and 2.00 for FOX, which implies that analysts are more bullish on the outlook for FOXA.

Insider Activity and Investor Sentiment

Short interest, or the percentage of a stock’s tradable shares currently being shorted, is another metric investors use to get a pulse on sentiment.FOXA has a short ratio of 3.04 compared to a short interest of 2.29 for FOX. This implies that the market is currently less bearish on the outlook for FOX.

Summary

Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOX) beats Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOXA) on a total of 9 of the 14 factors compared between the two stocks. FOX generates a higher return on investment, is more profitable and has lower financial risk. In terms of valuation, FOX is the cheaper of the two stocks on an earnings and sales basis, FOX is more undervalued relative to its price target. Finally, FOX has better sentiment signals based on short interest.

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