Mylan N.V. (NASDAQ:MYL) Stock Nears $37.76: Still a Hold?

Mylan N.V. (NASDAQ:MYL) fell by -1.38% in Thursday’s trading session from $38.29 to $37.76 and has now fallen 3 consecutive sessions. The stock price went upward in 7 of the last 10 days and has generated 22.36% during the last two weeks. Volume has increased in Thursday’s trading session by 1.17 million shares, but on a weak note. This is may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 3.90 M shares exchanged hands for about $147.44 million.

Inside MYL’s Recent Trend

Mylan N.V. (MYL) lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this will normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break down through the support point at $38.34 will initially suggest a lower tendency for declines in the price and this might very well be an early sign that a trend shift is coming. Short-term traders are anticipated to see a retreat of -8.69% over the course of a quarter and, with 90% chance the price will be floating in the range of $24.86 and $35.01 in this timeframe.

Mylan N.V. Technical Signals

MYL has witnessed its short term MA triggering a sell signal. Meanwhile, however, the long-term average has generated a buy signal. When the short-run moving average rises above its longer-term trend, a buy signal is created. This is because a short-run moving average that crosses its long-run moving average counterpart is seen as the initiation of an upward trend. On additional rally, the share price will meet short term resistance at around $38.11. On a drop, the stock is likely to find some support over the long run, which begins at $32.96. A buy signal will be generated if it crosses above the short term moving average. Meanwhile, however, a price crossing below the long term moving average will generate a sell signal.

Mylan N.V. (NASDAQ:MYL) Support And Resistance Levels

In case of pullback, the next support the price will capture from accumulated volume will not be far away from current price at $32.08 and $32.03. In case of gains, the next resistance from accumulated volume will not be far away from today’s level at $37.80, $37.92 and $38.29.

It is important to note, however, that the stock needs to make its way through natural risk while testing a key support level. Once this support is broken, another support level will be to be established at a lower level. Turning back to this stock, Mylan N.V. approaches the first support point just current price at $32.08. In case of a break, the next support we will see from accumulated volume is going to be at $32.03 and $32.00. Accumulated volume is going to prevent the price from rising further at $37.80 and this action will lead the price to take a temporary pause or stay muted for a few days.

Mylan N.V. (MYL) Risk Assessment

A volatility based measure Bollinger Bands suggests this stock poses high risk. In the most recent session, the stock price hovered around $0.66 between high and low, or 1.76%. The average volatility for the past week stood at 1.84%.

The stock is in overbought condition based on RSI(14) readings and sits at the top end of the trend. In general, this offers great exit point for the short term traders. The RSI above 70 combined with the trend position poses greater risk so increased volatility should be expected. The stock correction is due. The decline may accelerate to the downside in the near term but it is reasonable to consider what the key support levels may be that would support a bounce back to the upside for stock.

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